Wednesday, 23 March 2016

Chrome suffers wide draw in World Cup

Two American heavyweights, California Chrome, and Frosted, from a contingent of 12 have been entered for the 2016 Dubai World Cup. There isn't any betting in Dubai, but bookmakers have put in the 2014 Horse of the Year as 6/4 favourite over his younger challenger who is about 2/1, while not one of the other runners rate single digits odds. 

Both American stars have poor draws for the 1m 2f race, with California Chrome breaking from the eleven and Frosted two spots nearer in 9. Victor Espinoza will ride the favourite, while William Buick should be in the irons for Frosted, as he turned into for his profitable prep.
While the two have drawn most of the talk, U.S. challengers have also made the commute, in hopes of pulling off a $10 million upset. Mshawish, who has taken to his new found home on dirt with two straight wins at Gulfstream Park, drawn 2, with Frankie Dettori selecting up the mount. 
Keen Ice, who has not hit the board in two runs this year, will be ridden by Ryan Moore and drawn on the rail in stall one. Hoppertunity, from the barn of Bob Baffert, will break from stall 10, Mubtaahij will start from draw 4 with Christopher Soumillon in the irons.
The remainder of the Dubai World Cup horses: 3) Gun Pit, 5) Special Fighter, 6) Sweet Boy, 7) Vadamos, 8) Hokko Tarumae, and 12) Teletext. The race has a post of 9 pm local time in Dubai.
California Chrome is an even bigger stronger animal than last year, and should take some beating. He already has run two respectable performances for trainer Art Sherman, and may be better acclimated and prepared than he was last year. He may still get a great stalking go back and forth from his outdoor put up, which he prefers, and have every probability to thrust to the lead on the a long way flip of this year’s World Cup. I have no doubts about his category – he should still go down as one of the foremost California-breds of all-time, and that i completely expect him to run his race on Saturday. 
Call me a Frosted Flake if you like, but I consider this a superb spot for the four-year-old son of Tapit. As a Godolphin runner, the alluring grey has been targeted for this race for a long time, and could not be doing any greater over there for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. His prep win in the Al Maktoum was an impressive performance that should set him up for the ten furlongs on Saturday. Remember last year, he ran a couple of big races, including a 2nd in the Belmont, behind American Pharoah.
In other words, I believe he had it a lot tougher in the Classics than California Chrome did the 12 months before. While California Chrome and Frosted are both proven at the distance, I consider Frosted will finish the last furlong slightly stronger than his opponent. I'm picking Frosted over California Chrome to win the 2016 Dubai World Cup. I see him sitting behind Chrome early, making his move a long way out, and powering on through late.