Sunday, 16 September 2018

That Horse Looks Hopeless - I'm Sure it Can Win!

In The Betting Shop
What is your type of bet? Perhaps you're a favourites man. You bet on the jolly like it's going out of fashion. In fact, you can't remember the last time you didn't back the horse which sits at the top of the market. 

There's nothing wrong with that. You do what you do. If it pays you are correct – if you lose you are wrong. We are talking long term. Even the best of successful gamblers appreciate they need to view their performance over a season. One well-established platform who say let's beat the bookies with OLBG via this handy link https://www.olbg.com/betting-tips/Horse_Racing/2  and make the most of your wagers on a daily basis. 

It is interesting to consider how you bet. I know for the majority this doesn't even register. You go in the bookmakers, check out the Racing Post, last three runs, looks ok, and bet. I'm not being funny, but compare to someone who knows a lot about betting it is boarding on criminal. If you can make your betting pay with that minimalistic style you are one lucky guy. Sadly, it's not possible. 

Why? Because you are looking at the same information as everyone else. When gambling there really isn't strength in numbers. You need to remove yourself from the crowd. You need to have your own perspective. A quiet approach which taps into value bets. 

Basically, you need to understand your niche. We go from horse racing in its entirety to a segment of the pie. Sure, the whole apple pie tastes sweet but just a little part can taste sweeter. Perhaps it has been sprinkled with cinnamon! 

My speciality is two-year-old horse racing. Our other contributor, Eric Winner, follows sprinters.

It's impossible to follow all racing. Why would you want to run ten marathons when you can win one and bet five times the money? You can see the logic. You will be better than others when you put more work into your niche and understand that you don't need to be the best punter on earth. You have to be a little bit better than most! 

That's why I come to horses which look pretty damn hopeless.

I can imagine what you are thinking. Why the hell do you want to do that? Because I can pretty much guarantee most people have written off it's chance. That can be a very good thing for me. Because some layer somewhere is a little greedy and keeps pushing the price from big, bigger to biggest. 

Those huge odds can relate to value. 

When considering betting on two-year-old horses it's easy for even a decent juvenile to disappoint on its first two starts. I can tell you, very few layers fear a horse that has disappointed both starts.

''Let's lay this thing as it's as slow as a snail.'' Most of these horses are – but not all. I've seen a lot of these horses run big races on their third start and a number have won. One of them at 999/1 on Betfair. Whether you bet on the favourite or the outsider, find a novel way of betting. If you follow the crowd long term you will never beat the bookies.

Friday, 7 September 2018

4:55 Ascot Racing Tips (7th September)

ASCOT 4.55 (8.60)

Too many runners to be confident but I've got Shepherds Purse as 4th top rated, Bounty Pursuit comes into 3rd spot and both of them like to track the leaders, in 2nd spot I've got Field Of Vision who is one of 4 in the race that has been known to lead before but my top-rated horse has a few spots in hand so I'm hoping ENGLISHMAN 20/1 can get a clear run and then stay on the stronger at the finish and once again another that's big enough to back each way.

Englishman 50/1 Unp

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Wednesday, 5 September 2018

1:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (5th September)

Free horse racing tips
LINGFIELD 1.40 

I'm not sure if Culloden will take to this surface as its only ran over this c/d once before and showed very little but a time recorded at Chelmsford would see it make the frame and it is a front runner if it can get a clear run from stall 9 and it could well do with not a lot of known early pace in the race, Nuzha and Molly Jones are others that could get involved in the finish but top on my list is BARNSDALE 25/1 and this one's trainer has a 2-11 record at this course and they have employed a 7lb claiming apprentice to help their cause here but its not a race I will be investing too heavily in as these class 7 runners are never very consistent but at such a big price I cannot let it pass without an each way bet on it.

Barnsdale 33/1 7th

Eric Winner Racing Tips 

Monday, 3 September 2018

3:55 Windsor Racing Tips (3rd September)

horse racing tips
WINDSOR 3.55 (7.5) 

Its given as g/f going and I just hope they don't water the course as with the Thames running close to the course they do seem to over water at times, there's a few in the race to ensure there's a fast early pace to this race, Capananty Con is a hold up type and my joint 2nd top rated and despite being the bottom right its actually dropped down a grade to run in this race but could stay on into a place,Danecase is the other 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the pacesetters, it recorded its best time here in 2017 and would need to bounce back to form to get competitive here but my top rated is LITTLE PALAVER 16/1 who also recorded its best at this c/d, they have booked a 7lb claiming apprentice who has a 2-11 record for this stable and I don't mind an apprentice riding front-running horses so I'm hoping that's the plan here and it can lead from start to finish and at the price I will have each way wager. 

Little Palaver 16/1 Unp

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Sunday, 26 August 2018

Eric Winner Free Horse Racing Tips

Eric Winner Racing Tips
It's funny how people pay for horse racing tips. 

There's nothing wrong with paying if it makes you money. It is interesting to consider that you don't have to pay to get valuable tips. Want me to prove that point? Well, the chances are you've heard about Eric Winner Racing Tips. He has been blogging for a few years and achieved over 700,000 page views. 

When most racing tipsters give up after 6-months, you know someone who lasts the duration has value. That' a keyword most punters are interested. 

Take a look at his winners here

As Eric takes the time to rank the tips in each race you will notice he has given many big payouts. A recent forecast £224.76. Oh yes, I forgot to detail that he gave a 20/1 winner, too. 

It's a strange fact, but Eric Winner is better at giving big-priced winners than favourites. I know it sounds unusual but I'm sure it's the case. I've not run the data but it's a suspicion I have after seeing this man in action month after month. 

When was the last time your tipster gave a 100/1 winner?

Read his detailed analysis of that day's tip selections. ''Wow, thanks for the 100/1 winner''.

Not bad, hey. The horse was actually backed from 100/1 with bookmakers to 12/1. Eric's followers know it pays. 

Look at this result where the Tricast paid an amazing £785.65

Anyway, I don't need to sing Eric's praise beyond this point. 

Thursday, 16 August 2018

5:55 Newmarket Racing Tips (17th August)

Newmarket racecourse
NEWMARKET 5.55 (8.0) 

There's a couple of horses that have led before even if reluctantly and Explain is one of them and it's my 2nd top rated from stall 9 and the other possible pacesetter is drawn next door so it ought to be a true run race but my top rated is GO FAR 40/1 but this was taken from a time recorded last year at Goodwood but its 3 runs this year haven't been up to that standard yet but this drop in class will hopefully rejuvenate it and it back to its best and at the price it has to be an each-way wager. 

Go Far 40/1 Unp

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Monday, 13 August 2018

4:45 Ayr Racing Tips (13th August)

Ayr Racing Tips
AYR 4.45

Too many runners to be too confident but I have got Kibaar as 3rd top rated and this is a hold up type but may prefer a stiffer track, I've got joint top rated horses in HOT HANNAH 25/1 who is very versatile when it comes to racing tactics, its not shown much this year in 2 runs but is capable of springing a surprise I will back it each way at the odds, the other top-rated is OUR PLACE IN LOULE 14/1 who I tipped up last time out where it was made to much use of early in the race in an amateur jockeys affair and faded into 4th, it best tactics is to cover it up behind the leaders for a late surge and at the price another each way wager. 

Our Place In Loule 14/1 3rd
Hot Hannah 25/1 Unp

WINDSOR 5.30 (7.5) 

A poor apprentice jockey race and I'm only writing up on the race because of the price of my top 2 ratings, LANGLEY VALE 16/1 is 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, but I'm not sure who will lead, top spot is WILLSY 25/1 and this also likes to track the early pace setters, so I will have 2 small each way bets as they look good value.

Langley Vale 16/1 6th
Willsy 25/1 7th

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Friday, 10 August 2018

2:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th August)

Wolverhampton Racecourse 2018
WOLVERHAMPTON 2.20 

This is indeed a poor race for me mainly because of the lack of front runners, I've marked 6 of these runners as maybe needing further or a really fast pace to be competitive so the race may not be run to suit them, Passing Star is 3rd best but needs to improve a few spots to win this but should be staying on at the finish and could make the frame but isn't really an each way price, Burauq is weighted to come out 2nd top but it hasn't been in great form lately and the price reflects that fact, so i will have be backing FANTASY JUSTIFIER 40/1 each way at the price, who doesn't want a fast early pace which can find out its lack of stamina but this race might be run just right for it to nave every chance to get back to winning ways. 

Fantasy Justifier 40/1 6th

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Wednesday, 8 August 2018

2:00 Chepstow Racing Tips (8th August)

CHEPSTOW 2.00 (7.3)
I've only got ratings for 4 of the 12 runners but there doesn't look much pace in the race apart from my final selection, Major Valentine may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but could make the frame, Yogiyogiyogi comes out 3rd best on a time recorded at Newbury this year, in 2nd spot is Whitecrest who likes a fast pace to aim at so this race may not be run to suit its style which leaves me with MONARCH MAID 14/1 who is versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but here it could set the pace and then set sail for home and the price is easily big enough for me to go with an each way wager.

Monarch Maid 14/1 6th

Monday, 30 July 2018

6:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th July)

Wolverhampton racing tips
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15
A field of 13 runners and only 3 known front runners and Invisible Storm from stall 2 could gain control on the rails but would need to improve to win but never say never especially being a 3 year old, Jorvik Prince is 4th top and possibly another pacesetter from stall 5, Kamra is 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, OUR MAN IN HAVANA 20/1 is another 3 year old and the 3rd possible pacesetter and in the make-up of this race it might not be too much of a hindrance seeing its in stall 12 and at the price has to be worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *A SURE WELCOME 12/1 in stall 3 who likes to track the early pace and could get a good position on the rails just behind the leaders from which to attack late on and another i will be backing each way.

Our Man In Havana 25/1 7th
* NR

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