Wednesday, 20 February 2019

5:20 Southwell Racing Tips (21st February)

SOUTHWELL 5.20 

As usual a class 6 race attracts the biggest field of my beloved sprints, just shows how many poor horses there is in training, but a little strange that there's only 3 front runners in this 5 furlong dash, I will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, Twentysvnthlancers looks in the grip of the official handicapper after its win 5 runs ago, Novabridge has tried 11 times before on this course without winning but it has run the odd good race here and it could make the frame but I doubt it will catch the front running ARCHIE STEVENS 16/1 if this one puts in one of its better efforts and I will have an each way bet but my stakes in this race won't be at full strength. 

Archie Stevens 50/1 Unp



CHELMSFORD 6.25 

A strange looking complicated race with only 6 runners and any stakes will be kept low, the top 2 horses, Always A Dream, 2nd top on a Kempton time, and Lalania, 2nd top on c/d times, could run decent races but would need to improve to beat, AVON GREEN 16/1 who is top rated using its best Kempton time but it hasn't run over this c/d before and will need to be held up for a late run at this distance, top-rated using c/d times is DREAMBOAT ANNIE 10/1 who has done its best times on turf when leading but hasn't led on the aw tracks before but has a decent chance here to lead all the way but I will go with having smallish bets on the 2 selections.

Dreamboat Annie 10/1 3rd
Avon Green 25/1 5th  

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Monday, 18 February 2019

6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (19th February)

Wolverhampton racing tips
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

At least there's some early paced sorts in this 6 furlong race but there's not a lot to say about a lot of the runners so I will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, A Sure Welcome is my 3rd top rated and its best time was recorded this year so could go well in this race and could be the one to prosper if my front running pair go off too fast and fade, Peachey Carnehan has been in good form and merits the opportunity to take on this higher class of opponents but I'm thinking it just might struggle to actually win the race but that's not to say it won't run well and could make the frame but I'm thinking that MONUMENTAL MAN 16/1 could be very hard to beat if it does get to the front and in the make-up of this race things could go its way and at the price it has to be an each-way punt.

Monumental Man 16/1 3rd (backed to 8/1 sp)

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Monday, 11 February 2019

Grand National List of Winners

List of Grand National Winners
It's the 6th of April 2019. 

Time: 5:15pm 

Place: Aintree Racecourse, Liverpool. 

I'm studying the form for this year's runners and riders, searching for the best betting odds because I'm looking for a speculative bet.

The Grand National is one race that stops people in their tracks. A household institution. ''Get ready for the Grand National 2019'', are the words I hear come that exciting Saturday. My uncle Alan comes round and asks me to place a few bets for him. ''Not a problem.'' 

In preparation for my speculative bet, I search on Google for the following keywords: List of Grand National winners. Click on the link to Wikipedia and ''BOOM'' the info is at hand. Why should I research past winners? Because I want to see the winning price for the contest over the last few years. There's no lack of data as the records go back to that elusive first win of Lottery who won the inaugural race at odds of 5/1f. It's quite astounding to think that the first race was dated 1839.

From that historic day, the Grand National story has been written like a rich tapestry with covers a million honest, hard, gritty and emotional words. 

Searching the list of Grand National winners, I realise that five horses have won at odds of 100/1. 

''Perhaps my speculative bet is alive and kicking''

Is there a fighting chance we can beat the favourite? 

The last favourite to win was back in 2010 when Don't Push It prevailed. The long-awaited win for Tony McCoy and legendary trainer Jonjo O'Neill. A popular victory, particularly memorable for connections of the 10/1f. 

Interesting to note that in the last 20-years just three favourites have won. A select list including Hedge Hunter 7/1f (2004), Comply Or Die 7/1f (2008) & Don't Push It 10/1f (2010).

So 17 jollies were beaten. 

The shortest price winners over that time being 10/1. Nine winners were priced over 20/1. So that's almost an even money chance of a 20/1+ winner over this period. In fact, the last ten years have seen a number of incredibly priced successors. 

Take a look at the list:

2009 - Mon Mone 100/1 
2012 - Neptunes Collonges 33/1 
2013 - Auroras Encore 66/1
2014 - Pinea Du Re 25/1
2015 - Many Clouds 25/1 
2016 - Rule The World 33/1 

So if you fancy a big price selection don't be put off by those jolly favourite-backers. If they spout on about this, that and the other them ask them how many favourites have won in the last twenty years?

I bet odds-on they have no idea. 

When the Grand National starts, I'll be cheering for a speculative to show the way. 

Good luck. 

Monday, 28 January 2019

6:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (29th January)

bbc horse racing tips
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 

There's 3 known front-runners in the race and 2 of them are in my top 5 ratings so Turanga Leela in stall 8 and 5th top rated and Taverner in tall 12 and 3rd top rated could do best of the front-runners but they may set it up to a finishing type in this race, Zapper Class is 2nd top rated and usually stays on at the finish over this distance but I've got LETMESTOPYOUTHERE 12/1 as my top rated and this hold up type might have this race run to suit its favoured racing tactics, the trainer has a 24% win rate here and the jockey has a 23% win rate for this stable so I'm hoping that's a pointer to them expecting a big run here and luckily the price permits me to go with an each way wager. 

Letmestopyouthere 20/1 Unp 

More horse racing tips here

Wednesday, 23 January 2019

5:55 Chelmsford Racing Tips (24th January)

CHELMSFORD 5.55 

This is a bit of a ness timewise with varying times coming from varying tracks, with only 2 known pacesetters in the race How Far my 6th top rated could go well, King Robert who likes to track the leaders is 4th top rated and that's using a c/d time, Swift Approval usually runs on at the finish at this distance but the time that makes it my 3rd top rated comes from Kempton, the topweight Alsvinder comes out 2nd top using this one's best time which was recorded at Lingfield but top spot goes to HUMAN NATURE 8/1 who is the other known front runner and its best time was recorded at this c/d so if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money. 

Human Nature 8/1 2nd

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Saturday, 29 December 2018

7 Things to consider when backing a horse

Horse racing is one of the most popular betting sports in the world. Like most sports, there are people who can make thousands from horse betting. However, the majority of horse punters tend to be casual and usually place bets based on their lucky number or the name of the horse. By following the following seven tips and factors, you can make a calculated guess on which horse to place a bet on.


PEDIGREE

Betting websites, such as Paddy Power, show the breeding pedigree for each horse that is competing in a race. Most race-horses are now bred with selected horse types to ‘create’ the ideal race-horse. Be careful which type of horse you are betting on though, as different pedigree horses are suited to different tracks. If you do find that the track type is very suitable for the horse that is racing, then waste no time and place a bet on the horse.

TRAINER HISTORY

The outcome of a race can also depend on the trainer of the horse. Horses that are trained by the same trainers may perform better on different types of surfaces e.g. better performances on a soft surface track. In some situations, there may not be a noticeable difference in the horses’ performance on different track surfaces. However, if you do spot that horses trained by certain trainers perform significantly better on certain tracks, then chances are the horse racing will also perform well and have a good chance of winning the race.

COURSE SPECIALIST

Although jockeys race on multiple tracks throughout their career, certain tracks can be stomping grounds for certain jockeys and may have experienced success multiple times on the same track. The chances of a jockey repeating their success on the same track a high considering they have the experience of racing on the track, and have the knowledge of how the track ‘plays out’. But like the other factors, choosing a winner based on the knowledge of the track isn’t enough. Other factors such as the type of horse being used will affect the outcome of a race. You can’t expect an experienced jockey to repeat their success using the slowest horse of the race.

TIME SINCE LAST RACE

Like every athlete, horses need time to recover from a previous race. A horse that is racing just a few days after their previous race may suffer in the next race when facing against horses that have had a few more days or weeks rest and are fully refreshed. Although a few days extra rest may give a horse an edge, make sure they are not out of action for too long. If a horse has competed in a race for a long period, e.g. a few months, then they will suffer due to lack of ‘race fitness’, which means they are also unlikely to win the race. Your best bet is to put a bet on a horse that has not raced in a few days, but is still fit enough to run the full race without any issues.

DROP IN CLASS

It is common in horse racing for horses to drop down classes if they are unable to compete at a higher level. When you are placing a bet on a race, keep an eye out for horses that have dropped down a couple of levels. Although previously being part of a higher class does not guarantee a win, the experience of racing at a higher level should give the horse a slight edge other their competitors.

DISTANCE TRAVELED

Horses can be imported in from far and wide in order to participate in a certain race. If you notice that a horse has been brought in from far away to participate in a single race, chances are the trainer or jockey believes that the horse has a very good chance of winning the race. However be careful. Horses that have travelled a long distance are at risk from suffering from fatigue due to the distance travelled. This could lead to the horse performing worse in the race than anticipated.

JOCKEY WINNING STREAK

You should never underestimate momentum. A jockey that is on a winning streak is far more likely to carry on their momentum and extend their streak than a jockey who hasn’t won a race in a while. Although it is entirely plausible for a jockey on a winless streak to break it, the hot streak jockey should still be favourite to win. But as mentioned earlier, you should not just use winning streaks as your only metric for picking a winner. In this example, a course specialist that is on a losing streak has the potential to come away with the win over a jockey on a winning streak.

Wednesday, 19 December 2018

9:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (20th December)

CHELMSFORD 9.00 

A class 7 race but not as bad as it would first appear but inconsistency is a big problem at this level, *SECRET ASSET 8/1 is well weighted and my top rated, it did hint at a return to form when 3rd last time out so could feasibly win but it was a fair while back to its last victory but has proven its capabilities, Nuzra my 3rd top rated can sometimes struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace but there's no known front-runners in this race so could make the frame here, Slipalongtrevaskis should be staying on at the finish here but its got poor trainer 0-12 and jockey 1-38, stats which makes me think its not fancied in this race, my 2nd top rated is TASAABOQ 16/1 who also should be staying on the finish and could be worth an each way wager but my stakes in this race won't be at full strength in this class of race.

Tasaaboq 16/1 9th
*NR: Secret Asset 

Eric Winner Racing Tips 

Sunday, 16 December 2018

How to Prepare Your Horse for the Upcoming Race

Before joining a tournament, athletes of all kind have to be well-prepared and well-conditioned to ensure winning. This principle is not only right to people but also to animals that are put to a race or a match. Horses that are about to be lodged in a run, like any other athletes, are entitled to receive proper care and maintenance as well to guarantee that they are in good condition for the tournament and that they give a satisfying performance.

Horse racing, though sounds ancient, is still a prominent sport nowadays with some people claiming it as their favourite. There are some who spend money to invest for a good horse and support their maintenance. Also, some people gamble a substantial amount of money to a potential equine athlete as their wager during a tournament. In this say, horse racing is not a sport that one must undervalue. 

If you are one of those enthusiasts who find horse racing interesting and plan of getting a horse of your own to be put in a race someday, better keep your heads up and read the following tips to prepare your racehorse!

Physical Conditioning


Exercising and workout routines are not only for people, but it is also applied to equine athletes. Physical habits for horses ensure optimal muscular development as well as overall body tone enhancement. If these two are achieved after the training, speed, endurance and horses’ athletic potential can be expected. Thus, claiming for a competitive racehorse.

Some physical variations that can be observed from the horses when they undergo physical training are an active respiratory system, sturdy and quality ligaments and tendons, unique muscular anatomy, stable thermoregulation, solid bones, and well-conditioned cardiovascular system. If physical training to horses is conducted successfully, you can expect a higher strength and endurance, and superior skill in jumping and reigning from them.

Food Intake: Weight and Diet

Proper diet, moderate food intake, and adequate protein ingestion are means to maintain good health and good condition of your racehorses. Before the race, you have to make sure that your horse is not overweight and not underweight as well. Your horse must be filled with the right nutrients to sustain it with enough energy. Its nutrients must include adequate fat, starch, fiber, and protein. 

Moreover, thanks to science and technology, there are already feeds manufactured by commercial industries that are designed specifically for the equine athletes’ needs. These formulated provisions give alternative energy sources that meet the required nutrients of a racehorse. Through this, you no longer have to exhaust yourself and your resources in looking at and providing various foods to your horses. Besides, commercial feeds for racehorses are already filled with the right nutrients for them.

Tracking Progress Record

Keeping tab of your horse’s condition is a vital duty that you must regularly do. You should record even little changes from its body and write down some of its nominal progress to track its condition, whether it is ready for a race or not. 

A chart of its progress is a visual report of your horse’s improvement and health status. This chart does not need to be very comprehensive. You can write down a few things like your horse’s heartbeat after a long run, its temperature after a physical workout, its breathing rate after a few exercises, and other indications of a good or mediocre condition. You can check your horse with an interval of minutes or hours to days most especially if the race is nearly approaching. 

Anaerobic Conditioning

After establishing routinary exercises and minimal workouts, your racehorse can already upgrade to anaerobic exercise where intensified training programs are carefully introduced along with short workout duration. Anaerobic exercises are a bit heavier than the preliminary and routinary training because the muscles are forced to work harder and faster. However, this exercise solely aims in conditioning the horse for an actual race. 


Anaerobic conditioning is also called a high-powered workout because horses are already doing heavy physical activities like racing. By doing this, at first, you can accelerate the speed in a short distance but adds a little range from time to time. Another way of doing anaerobic exercise is maximizing and setting full distance and gradually accelerate its speed. Either way works as long as your racehorse is conditioned to heftier physical activities. 

Takeaway

After following the above guidelines on preparing your horse, assess and evaluate it if it’s ready for an actual race. If you think that your stallion can already give an excellent performance and can run for the trophy, then it’s time for you to register it to real tournaments like the pegasus world cup that’s held regularly. 

If you’ve trained and prepared your horse right, there’s nothing that should worry you. Instead, all you need to do is sit back in the bleacher, enjoy the loud festivity around, and wait for your trophy and cash- thanks to your well-conditioned equine athlete.

Saturday, 8 December 2018

Saturday, 24 November 2018

5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th November)

Horse racing At Wolverhampton WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45 

A bit surprised to find just 2 front-runners in this 5 furlong dash and my top 2 ratings are front-runners, Union Rose is my 3rd top rated on a 2017 time but hasn't raced here recently so could make the frame, ORIENTAL SPLENDOUR 14/1 is top rated using a 2017 time but this ones been in poor form so far this year and would need to bounce back to win here but never say never when its done it before, my top rated on this years form and joint 2nd top overall is HOLLANDER 8/1 and stall 6 looks ok in the make-up of this race, I will probably go with backing the latter as my main bet and a smaller covering bet on the other selection.

Hollander 8/1 3rd
Oriental Splendour 28/1 7th  

See Eric Winner's Racing Tips