Wednesday, 20 May 2015

7:10 Kempton - Speculative Bet (20th May)

An EBF Fillies' Maiden Stakes over 6f on standard going. Nine two-year-olds compete, four with race experience. Rial was noted by Speculative Bet when hitting the frame and should take all the betting. 

One horse that could go well on its second start is Indigo, trained by Mark Usher. This grey daughter of Medicean wasn't disgraced on debut over 5f at Windsor. A wide draw done this athletic filly no favours as she crossed to the rail and was never competitive thereafter. Steve Drowne gave this home bred a lovely introduction without resorting to the whip finishing eighth at odds of 66/1. In some respects that looked a limited effort. However, the form of that maiden has been franked and Indigo wasn't really given a race indicating she will progress with racing. Saxon House Stables rarely have debut winners but their juveniles can go well second start. 

Mark Usher said: ''Indigo is a filly I like a lot and should run well.'' He is a fair judge and his comments honest. 

This step up to 6f will bring improvement and I would expect a professional performance on this turning course. In my opinion, this looks a five-horse race and if one or two of the fancied newcomers fluff their lines it wouldn't be the biggest surprise to see Indigo hold each-way claims at 40/1 [touched 100/1 on the exchanges]. I've certainly seen plenty of fancy priced juveniles with less chance of winning.  

Indigo 40/1 4th