Tuesday, 30 October 2018

2:40 Nottingham Racing Tips (31st October)

NOTTINGHAM 2.40 (7.0)

The going forecast for this meeting is given as good and good to firm in places with a stick reading of 7.7 so I'm hoping it stays that way as its the only sprint for the day. 

OCELOT comes out 5th top using a time from Ascot this year and usually tracks the leaders. 

SAMOVAR may not like the going unless it rains and one i would lay if it remains dry 

SUWAAN has been known to lead before but needs to improve timewise to win this race 

TAN is usually running on strongly at this distance, my 3rd top rated so could make the frame 

WRENTHORPE has only recorded slow times at this distance on g/f going, races near the pace 

DR DORO another possible leader but not in my top 5 speed figures so may struggle here 

BECKER has only done relatively slow times and may need further to flourish 

GRANDFATHER TOM usually likes to track the leaders but needs to improve to win this race 

SUITCASE N TAXI hasn't done a fast enough time and hasn't been in good form recently 

MADAME BOUNTY be staying on at the finish but likely to be too late to even make the frame

BELLEVARDE isn't in my top 5 but is versatile tactics wise apart from actually leading 

YORKSHIREDEBUT is 2nd top rated on a 2017 Nottingham time but poor recent form 

LYDIATE LADY my 3rd top rated and the trainer does well here, doesn't want it too fast going 

UNDERCOVER BROTHER my top rated and a possible pacesetter and only a 3-year-old 

PAVERS PRIDE outside my top 5 but quite a versatile type 

BELLEDESERT another possible pacesetter needs to improve timewise. 

SUMMARY: There's 7 horses in this race that have led before so it should be a true run race, my joint 3rd top rated pair, Tan and Lydiate Lady, could be the ones to prosper if they go off too fast but my top 2 ratings are both front-running types, Yorkshiredebut is my 2nd top rated but recorded it on a flat type of course in 2017 but hasn't been at that level so far this year and this stiffer course might not suit it as well either but my top rated is the 3-year-old UNDERCOVER BROTHER 33/1 who could possibly be able to improve even further and if getting to the front ought to prove very hard to pass and the price means I will be having each way wager.

Undercover Brother 50/1 Unp