Friday 15 May 2015

1:55 Thirsk - Speculative Bet (16th May)

A Maiden Fillies Stakes over 5f on good to firm going. In many respects a few of these look to have some ability: Komedy, Ritcher Scale, Unilit et al. One filly who may be worth a third chance is Krystallite trained by Scott Dixon. 

This chestnut daughter of Kheleyf is an athletic, good-looking type who was nibbled in the betting on debut and showed good pace. The form of that race has worked out very well although it should, perhaps, be taken with a pinch of salt as the winner won well, while the third and fourth lost out through lack of experience and are much better than seen that day. 

Krystallite has lots of pace but an equal measure of temperament. She was keen on debut which cost her in the final furlong. It would be a blessing if she settled but that will be part of the gamble. 

Next start saw a similarly tough race at Stakes class. Nothing went right that day as this February foal was keen and then hung badly to her left and had no chance thereafter. It looked as though the bit slipped through her mouth which could explain such a dire performance - it needs to have some explanation. 

That run will be enough to have most punters running scared. In truth, temperamental horses are very hard work and this will be the make or break. 

Priced at speculative odds 18/1 I would have a small bet. I would just go for the straight win and try to lay the bet in-running at much shorter odds. This type of horse either win or lose spectacularly. Connections may take a change of tactic and try to hold up or they may try to lead. I would prefer the latter as it would give hope of a lay bet. 

An exciting tip selection if not for the faint hearted.      

Krystallite 18/1 (adv) 2nd