Tuesday 30 August 2016

4:40 Lingfield (31st Aug) Speculative Bet OILFIELD INSURANCE AGENCIES MAIDEN AUCTION FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 7f on good to firm going. 

Eleven runners but just one big priced selection to feast our eyes. As we know, these tips can be rather hit and miss but that is the nature of the beautiful beast when you start poking a 20/1 shot with a sharp stick (to make it go faster!). 

So which filly do we have our beady eye on here? Joyful Dream may just have an ace up her hoof at big odds. This is a very restricted race type and this chestnut daughter of Dream Ahead is out of a poor mare but I have a sneaky feeling Stan Moore considers this 9,000E breeze-up buy to have a glimmer of ability. Moore is a canny old stick and not the kind of trainer to overrate his juveniles but it is interesting to consider he once had this February foal entered to run at Listed class. Clearly, she isn't to that level unless something quite astounding has happened like someone had put her shoes on back to front! But it does suggest to me that we may not have seen the potential of this little horse. She ran a cracking race on debut at odds of 100/1. I actually tipped her on this website and although finishing eighth was beaten less than three lengths. She was more fancied next start at Chepstow in a race which turned out to be very competitive for the auction class. It is intriguing that Moore sent her to run at Deauville, France last time out when finishing down the field in testing conditions. I can't imagine Moore sending her to glimpse the Eiffel Tower or nibble at frog legs. I think it was a sign, added to the other clues, that he fancies this juvenile can win a small race.     

This faster ground should be more suiting and a step up in distance could be in her favour.  With ace apprentice Josephine Gordon claiming a valuable three pound and just 8-3 on her back I get the feeling if Joyful Dream is going to hit the frame this could well be her day. At odds of 25/1+ I would give this juvenile each-way claims.