Wednesday, 18 December 2019

6:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (18th December)

NEWCASTLE 6.45

I can only find 2 that have virtually no chance of winning this race and it's very tightly rated just outside my top 3 ratings so I will concentrate on my top 3 only, Poppy In The Wind is my 3rd top-rated but on a losing run of 14 which is off-putting but could still make the frame, my analysis only works on the win part of each horses data, Red Allure is well-weighted despite looking as though this isn't its favourite surface also it's still a maiden after 15 runs and the jockeys 0-11 for this stable doesn't inspire confidence, I will again be backing the topweight this time in the shape of PUSHKIN MUSEUM 10/1 who comes out top rated thanks to the time it recorded at Wolverhampton last year, the trainer has a decent 16% win rate at this course and the jockeys 1-3 record looks a positive booking. 

Pushkin Museum 80/1 Unp 

NEWCASTLE 7.15

This is probably the most competitive sprint of the day for me to analyse to a conclusion, Bugler Bob and Hassaad are my joint 4th top-rated horses and the latter might find the trip too far if they go a fast early pace, Gowanbuster is my 3rd top-rated and it could be the one to set the pace in this race, if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch, JONBOY 14/1 starts off as my top rated horse but if the jockey isn't worth their claim it would drop to 2nd top, the trainers 0-13 record is a negative while it is only the apprentices 3rd ride for this stable with one winner I'm not sure if its a positive booking or not, my original 2nd top-rated is EPEIUS 8/1 and this one will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and I have no option other than to back the pair of them.

Epeius 9/1 6th
Jonboy 14/1 Unp

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