Tuesday 5 July 2016

2:10 Yarmouth (6th July) This Race Gives Affordability

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 42y on good to firm going. Twelve two-year-olds take part and this looks a very competitive affair. I like a couple of big priced horses here but I will just detail one else its the equivalent of me chopping the odds in half. In fact, I'm not even going to say the other one because I know it will tempt fate. 

So which horse do we have in mind? Well, the detail is in the title. Daniel Mark Loughnane isn't the most fashionable of two-year-old trainers but he clearly knows his stock with the purchase of Affordability who cost just £5,000. This son of Bushranger is a decent-looking juvenile with plenty of pace. To be fair, if he hadn't been so keen on debut he may have proven a shock winner at odds of 40/1. He ran well for a long way at Lingfield on soft going until tiring in the closing furlong which may have been a furlong too far. There was a lot to like about this gelding's performance at Newcastle when dropping back to the minimum trip in what will turn out a fair contest. Certainly the second, third and fourth will be winning soon and to be beaten by just over four lengths in fifth was a creditable performance. 

If this was a stiff-looking contest I would be quite keen on this juvenile and even with those concerns of a tough race, I would give this bay horse a chance of hitting the frame at odds of 10/1.  The interesting point is that Affordability actually beat today's favourite Kody Ridge on debut at Wolverhampton. It is true that David Dennis' youngster didn't have much luck in running that day but Lughnane's charge was literally pulling like a train. It was a near miracle he ran as well as he did and I would consider if he had settled that day he would have proved victorious. 

This race type sees this gelding on much better terms with his old adversary and the claim of the apprentice makes him an even more attractive proposition. 

At odds of 10/1+ he holds fair each-ways claims. If a few of those in opposition are weak in the betting I would be half confident. 
Affordability NR